(The following letter is in
response to “Soviet Management Reform,” by Ernest Germain,
in the Summer 1965 International Socialist Review.)
To the Editor:
Mr. Germain might be well
advised to make explicit the knowledge or interpretation of
modern economic-planning theory that permits him to reject
“supply and demand laws” as useful tools of analysis and
rational economic determinants, even under socialism. Otherwise,
his repudiation becomes cavalier, and his analysis of socialist
economics becomes somewhat deficient in technical analysis. It
is therefore one-sided.
It is of course true that
Soviet workers and peasants have been arbitrarily and often
ruthlessly ruled by a State and party bureaucracy. That
bureaucracy has aggrandized itself materialistically, though it
has not re-created the legal basis for its own unlimited private
accumulation of wealth. Nor has the drive to industrial and
technical maturity been diverted to luxury goods. Moreover,
fantastic wage differentials are being permitted to narrow, and
the lowest brackets are especially benefiting from wage raises.
The frenzied drive to expand steel, coal and other domestic
heavy industry, at the expense of the vast “non-priority”
consumer goods sectors, has been attenuated. The increasingly
self-confident Soviet citizens have repudiated the forced
marches imposed by an inner party clique, and the centralized
command economy is beginning to yield to diffusive
pressures.
It could not be otherwise. An
increasingly complex and interdependent industrial economy would
falter at the obstacles imposed by inept “material
balancing,” crude output targeting, and constrictively
detailed resource allocation.
One waits for Mr. Germain to
advance beyond vague “motherhood slogans” (workers
self-management, true proletarian democracy, etc.), and as an
economist, actually grapple with the tremendous technical
problems facing socialist economics. Obviously full democracy,
and popular control facilitate inquiry and experimentation, just
as they attack vested interests and accumulated bureaucratic
privilege. Obviously, too, these benefits will not come to the
Soviet people without an intense struggle against a bloated
ruling party with enormous economic and political power. But are
these obvious truisms sufficient tools for a thorough analysis
of the Soviet economy?
Specifically, does Mr. Germain
not see that he could use much of modern “abstract” economic
theory as a tool to rationally calculate social and private
costs and benefits, and to which he could attach goals of
egalitarianism and rapid growth. His contention that some vague
“principle of planning” stands above all of this simply
opens the floodgates to all kinds of quackery and ill-considered
material and human sacrifice.
Furthermore, Mr. Germain’s
general denigration of citizens’ short and long run tastes as
(at least) a powerful and fundamental determinant of resource
and product allocation, leaves me wondering what party, what
central committee or what political executive he envisages
substituting for the people’s desires.
Perhaps Mr. Germain only meant
to say that a socialist central authority would try to integrate
and harmonize as many firm, industry and sector activities into
a binding comprehensive plan as modern computers and programming
techniques permit. Here “workers’ control” would involve
less local choice of productive techniques and output mix, and
more group experimentation, personnel allocation, and search for
non-wasteful techniques to feed the data processors and decision
makers.
Or perhaps Mr. Germain meant
that co-existing with wider workers’ control, plus large
freedom for the firm in product and resource markets, there
should be general programming of sectoral and aggregate
investments to avoid sharp imbalances and depression.
But if he meant to say these
things, Mr. Germain should have: (a) said them; (b) avoided
implicit and careless equating of those useful “supply and
demand” theorems of modern economists (predominantly Western)
with the vicissitudes of the capitalist economies in which they
often happen to live.
May I once more apologize for
the brevity (and obscurity) of this hurried comment. I have not
bothered to praise the many competent points in Mr. Germain’s
analysis, or the general revolutionary political conclusions.
Instead I have briefly attacked those Marxist economic
orthodoxies I think most harmful to a humane, efficient, and
expanding international socialism.
With very best wishes for your
future work, Fraternally yours, John McCormack Toronto
November 23, 1965
Reply:
The operations of “market
laws” allow “supply and demand” to balance - after the
fact. This is obviously preferable to crude rule-of-the-thumb
“balancing, ” or to extreme sacrifices imposed upon
consumers by universal rationing dictated by the
authorities.
However, socialists have long
known that this after-the-fact balancing of “supply and
demand” has many deficiencies, and quite a few liberals agree
with them.
First of all, the “market
laws” do not balance “supply” and human, physical and
psychological demand; they only balance “supply” and
effective demand, that is, disposable purchasing power. In a
society still characterized by great inequality of income and by
very low basic incomes for the millions of citizens, “market
laws” simply substitute one type of rationing (“rationing
through the purse”) for another.
In the second place,
after-the-fact balancing through “supply and demand”
involves great waste, periodic destruction of goods and
equipment (not to speak of periodic and permanent
unemployment).
In the third place, with the
tremendous international inequalities of income between nations,
laws of “supply and demand” are unable to induce any rapid
process of industrialization in the underdeveloped world
countries, without which these countries can overcome neither
poverty nor huge under-employment, nor backwardness. It is
precisely through an application of the “law of supply and
demand” on the scale of the world market that the
underdeveloped countries have been “specialized” in the
production and export of primary products, and have thus been
trapped in monoproduction and dismal poverty.
In the fourth place, the richer
a country becomes, the more basic physical needs can be
satisfied by existing resources, and the more “market laws”
become absurd, because by their very nature they are rational
under conditions of scarcity.
For all these reasons
socialists prefer to have “supply and demand” balanced
beforehand and not afterwards, through conscious prior
allocation of resources and not through blind operation of
“market laws.
Here are three examples:
1. Surely Mr. McCormack will
agree that it would be nothing less than scandalous to have the
distribution of medical services, pharmaceutical products and
access to higher education “rationed” in a socialist country
through the contents of the citizen’s purse! Even in
capitalist countries socialists generally stand for free
medicine and free education (and a few left socialist parties in
Western Europe already call for a “national housing
service,” in analogy to a national health service).
But what else does this mean
but the elimination of any “market law” determining the
balance of supply and demand in these fields? The demands are
established first, on a physical basis, in as scientific a way
as possible; and the necessary resources are then detached from
the national income to make possible the satisfaction of these
needs (either immediately, or within a certain number of
years).
This is the substitution of the
socialist principle of production according to needs for the
capitalist principle of production according to profit.
2. In Western Europe, we have
witnessed for several years the so-called eggs cycle, which is
quite similar to the famous “hog cycle” in North America,
but much more wasteful. Every 18 months, hens are slaughtered by
the hundreds of thousands because the prices of eggs have fallen
too much. The slaughter of the hens causes a shortage in the
eggs, prices start to rise (as much as two or three times as
high as they were at the beginning of the cycle!). This rise in
prices induces chicken farmers to increase the number of
egg-laying hens they keep. Egg production is greatly increased,
and eventually there comes a new glut, prices crash, and the
cycle starts all over again.
Now Mr. McCormack will probably
also agree that in any advanced country the predictable
consumption of eggs during a year could be easily established
with great accuracy. The consumption of the previous year is
known. Long-term series give near-exact income elasticity
formulas. It is sufficient to combine these figures --
established on the predicted annual increase in per capita
income in the various income groups -- with the increase in
population to get a fairly accurate estimate of the annual rise
in egg production necessary and sufficient to balance
“sufficient and demand” -- before the fact.
If one would object that the
annual rise in per capita income cannot be foreseen exactly in a
country like the Soviet Union, it can be replied that what would
be involved here are possible mistakes of one or two per cent,
which can easily be taken care of by allowing inventories to
fluctuate. But the “balancing” by “market laws” the like
of which we now suffer in Western Europe involves annual
“mistakes” and “waste” on the order of 20 to 30 per
cent, which cost the community and consumers in the long run in
the millions of dollars. Surely the pre-planned balance would be
largely preferable!
3. When a new type of equipment
is invented, which enables the community to economize thousands
of working hours, it would be obviously irrational in a
socialist economy to let “market laws” determine the price
of equipment. As it is rare and its producers enjoy actual
monopoly, prices would tend to go up to the point where the
introduction of the new equipment would only be marginally
economical, and only for the richest producing units (those
which could pay the highest prices).
Surely from the point of view
of the economy taken as a whole, it would be much more rational
to sell this new equipment as cheaply as possible (even to the
point of subsidizing the plants which manufacture it), so as to
enable the maximum number of producing units to introduce the
maximum number of pieces of equipment of that type as quickly as
possible.
In other words: It is simply
not true that “whatever is profitable for one plant is also
profitable for the economy as a whole” (or that social
profitability is but the sum total of the profits of all the
units). The economy is an organic unit of its own, where higher
overall profitability can very well result from deliberate
losses imposed upon certain plants.
All these examples are only
given to show that a socialized economy cannot consider that
regulation of the economy through these laws is an ideal
objective to be reached. It must, on the contrary, assume that
it should try to substitute as much planned balancing for
after-the-fact balancing as is economically rational, given a
certain level of development of the productive forces. This is
what is meant by “the principle of planning”. This principle
finds itself in a dialectical combination of struggle against,
and coexistence with, the “market principle” during the
whole period of transition from capitalism to socialism.
Why can’t the principle of
planned balancing of supply and demand become generalized?
Obviously because of the still existing scarcity of resources.
Withering away of commodity production and “market laws”
cannot be “commanded” by authority; it depends upon relative
abundance of resources, or physical saturation of needs which is
only another way of stating the same idea.
This is why consumer goods will
generally remain commodities during the transition period (which
does not imply at all, however, that their prices should
necessarily be established by “market laws” and by
“rationing of the purse”). But, the more productive forces
grow, the more goods and services are characterized by inelastic
demand, or even decline of demand, given a growing income, the
more the principle of distribution according to needs can be
extended to new categories of needs. However, as long as
relative scarcity reigns in many fields, a certain amount of
“market economy” must still be integrated with the
“planning principle.
Mr. McCormack is afraid that
some “party,” or “central committee,” or “political
executive” will dictate the “needs,” which the
“principle of planning” balances beforehand with existing
resources. This fear is a logical reaction to the experience of
Stalinism -- and even to the political regime presently existing
in the Soviet Union.
But Mr. McCormack certainly
cannot have missed the point of what he calls our “motherhood
slogans”: workers self-management, true proletarian democracy,
etc. What else do these mean but a determination by the majority
of the people, freely expressing itself, of the priority of
goals of economic development, of the needs which must have
priority for being covered from the start by existing resources,
of the goods and services which must be distributed according to
needs?
Even in bourgeois democracy,
Britain and Saskatchewan have voted for a free health service
without causing a collapse of the economy. Why couldn’t one
visualize the mass of the toiling people in any socialized
country based upon proletarian democracy, determining through
free discussion, a free press, a free vote and free choice
between various alternative plans, the exact amount of
sacrifices it is ready to undergo as consumers, and the forms of
sacrifices it refuses to accept here and now?
And isn’t is obvious that
this conscious selection of planning goals by the mass of the
people, under conditions of socialist democracy, is much more
democratic, much more rational, much less wasteful and much less
oppressive than both the systems of resource allocations through
the tyranny of market laws under monopoly capitalism (which
implies “rationing through the purse,” huge waste and
injustice), and resource allocation through an allegedly
omniscient bureaucratic Planning Board, freed both from control
by the workers and control by the market?
This is why the present reforms
of the Soviet economy, while they substitute some operations of
the market for some operations of the Planning Boards, without
going in the direction of workers self-management or proletarian
democracy, do not solve the difficulties and contradictions of
that economy, but only substitute one type of contradiction for
another.
E. Germain
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